Added columnist Andrés Oppenheimer, writing in the Miami Herald: “While the OAS is rightly denouncing the coup against Zelaya, there are growing questions about why it hasn’t said a word about the coup against Antonio Ledezma in Venezuela,” Oppenheimer wrote in a July 17 article. Ledezma is the opposition mayor of Venezuela’s capital, Caracas, who was elected by a landslide in November 2008 (receiving only 200,000 votes less than Zelaya did when he won the Honduran presidency in 2005). Yet after his victory, Chávez effectively ignored the election results by creating a position of “super-mayor” of Caracas, appointing a loyalist to the new job and stripping Ledezma of 93 percent of his budget and all but 6,000 of his 22,000-member workforce. In his article, Oppenheimer questioned whether Insulza is “turning a blind eye on transgressions” by Chávez and other strongmen because he needs their votes to win a new term as OAS leader, as some critics have suggested. “It’s ridiculous to see Chávez and his friends make fiery speeches in support of democracy in Honduras, when they themselves are killing it daily in their home countries,” Oppenheimer concluded. “If the OAS doesn’t expand its Democratic Charter, Latin America will be increasingly more authoritarian, and the OAS will become — like Ledezma said — a mutual protection club for power-hungry presidents.” Nonsense, retorts Insulza, who equates supporters of the coup against Zelaya with those who make excuses for rapists. “As with all rapes, there’s always someone with impeccable democratic credentials who’s willing to say that the victim brought it upon herself,” the OAS leader pointed out. “Yes, she was raped, but what was she doing there? Why was she dressed that way? Yes, he was pushed out of office, but he was trying to change the constitution illegally.” On the other hand, Insulza also admits that more could have been done to prevent the region’s first coup in decades. “We have a good early-warning system, but we knew what was going on. Probably I should have made the decision to get involved not a week before the coup, but several weeks before,” he conceded. “We all went to the General Assembly [in San Pedro Sula] a month before, and even though there was a lot of political tension then, it’s hard to imagine what would happen a month later.” For the time being, Arias, a Nobel Peace Prize winner, is acting as mediator between Zelaya and the government headed by Micheletti. “Formally, Arias is negotiating as the president of Costa Rica, as requested by the OAS — and as president of the Central American Integration System,” said Insulza, noting that by pure coincidence, Arias became president of SICA — as the organization is known in Spanish — the very day after the coup in Honduras. “It’s very common that we ask personalities in the hemisphere to do that. In most crises, we’ve had some relevant personalities leading the effort, not the secretary-general,” he said. “It’s not an unusual situation.” Pointedly asked by a member of the audience if the organization is effectively doing Chávez’s bidding, Insulza chose his words carefully. “There’s still a certain movement to create an alternative, something different from the OAS, which I’m sure will not succeed,” he responded. “President Chávez is not that big a fan of the OAS, but I agree with Sen. [John] Kerry when he said the issue here is Honduras, not Venezuela. Zelaya is supported by all members of the OAS. To some extent, this is not their cause — this is a cause of the whole region.” Peter Kornbluh, a director at Washington’s nonprofit National Security Archive, says it’s obvious that under Insulza, the OAS has flexed its institutional assertiveness. “As to his degree of success, that depends on where you stand,” Kornbluh told The Diplomat. “They made a huge effort — ironically in Honduras — on the Cuba issue, to the point where the U.S. is now rejecting Insulza for his next term as secretary-general. Under Insulza, the OAS has gotten under the skin of even a liberal administration.” According to Kornbluh, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has hinted privately that the White House won’t support Insulza’s candidacy in 2010 because he pushed so hard to readmit communist Cuba into the OAS, from which it had been suspended in 1962. Erikson of the Inter-American Dialogue said that the organization’s new assertiveness effectively began in 2002, when it strongly condemned an attempted coup against Chávez. That new muscle was very much in evidence at the OAS meeting in San Pedro Sula, Honduras, when the group’s 34 members unanimously voted to rescind Cuba’s suspension, though on the condition — lobbied hard by the U.S. delegation — that Cuba first meets requirements on democracy and human rights. “At the end of the day, the outcome of the meeting on Cuba was managed relatively well. The OAS successfully reached a consensus resolution on Cuba, which had been very much in doubt beforehand. They proved they could serve as a multilateral forum for discussion,” Erikson said. “In the case of Honduras, the OAS has faced greater challenges. There was a consensus to reject the coup, but the OAS hasn’t brought about any resolution, and it ultimately outsourced the role of mediator to Oscar Arias. This could have been an opportunity for the OAS, or for Insulza personally, to play a major role. But now, following the initial suspension of Honduras, the OAS has been relegated to the sidelines.” Insulza, who speaks to Arias every day, says he’s “cautiously optimistic” that progress will be made on restoring Zelaya to the presidency. “Zelaya said he will not insist on constitutional reform, but leave it for the next government. Some people have spoken about moving the election forward. I don’t think there’s much insistence on that. President Arias needs to reach some kind of blueprint, and that will take time. But the first thing is to find out if there’s some room for agreement.” Erikson is a lot less optimistic. “Personally, I think it’ll be extremely difficult,” he told The Diplomat, suggesting it’s all about who has the most to lose. “The major political actors in Honduras have united around preventing Zelaya’s return, and the international community is united in calling for his reinstatement,” he said. “Ultimately, it’ll be the internal actors in Honduras who will fight harder to keep him out than the international community will fight to put him back.” Larry Luxner is news editor of The Washington Diplomat.

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